World Famous Comics: Fooling Some of the People All of the Time: A Long Short Story
Fooling Some of the People All of the Time: A Long Short Story
By: David Einhorn Publisher: Wiley Average Rating: Binding: Hardcover Label: Wiley Number of Items: 1 Number of Pages: 380 Publication Date: May 02, 2008
Product Description: Fooling Some of the People All of the Time is the gripping chronicle of the ongoing saga between author David Einhorn’s hedg fund, Greenlight Capital, and Allied Capital, a leader in the private finance industry. Page by page, it delves deep inside Wall Street, showing why the $6 billion hedge fund decided to short shares of Allied Capital and how Allied responded with a Washington, D.C.-style spin-job—attacking Einhorn and disseminating half-truths and outright lies.
Very interesting, and disturbing, read Although some claims against Allied appear to be exaggerated, or at least are not fully substantiated within the covers of the book, this is an excellent look into the critical bird-dog role of financial analysts.
Plenty of literary criticisms to be made, but it is a relatively easy, even enjoyable, read.
It is also informative, albeit troubling, to read of the indifference and incompetence of many government officials in response to Greenlight's more damning findings of fraudulent and misleading activity. Although this is something we have come to expect over the course of the George "heckuva job" Bush administration, we need more voices in this fight.
Perception and Reality This is an excellent read with great insight into the way true hedge funds try to add value and how publicly traded companies can make perception into reality.
Good writer, Great Investor, Superb Revisionist Historian David Einhorn's book contains quite a lot of good advice, but its subtitle "A Long Short Story", says it all; this book does not need to be 350 pages long. In fact, I can give you a good portion of its wisdom here: 1) Avoid losing positions, as it takes winners to offset them just to get back to even; 2) Avoid "evolving hypotheses", which means that if you buy a stock for a reason, the catalyst occurs, and the stock doesn't respond as you wanted, don't sit around and create a new reason to own it; rather, sell it and move on. 3) A company's paying of a dividend does not necessarily signal financial strength..in fact in the case of Allied Capital they frequently raised capital in the equity markets in order to pay the dividend (which Einhorn accurately likens to a Ponzi Scheme).
Where the book falls apart is the many dealings that Einhorn claims to have had with various agencies, most of which Einhorn claims wronged him. The reality is that only Einhorn and the counter-parties know for sure whether these dealings truly happened as he portrays, but there are strong signals that his book is a self-serving diatribe; for example, when Harvard Business School wrote a case about the Einhorn/Allied Capital issue, Einhorn says that the case was biased in favor of Allied, and that he wasn't offered the chance to comment on the case as was customary because of his conspiracy theory that the research assistant had formerly worked at Capital Research, which owned Allied Capital stock. Futhermore, he implicates esteemed Harvard Business School professor Andre Perold in his revisionist history account, claiming that Greenlight was denied the right to offer input in the case. That, I can state with great confidence, is factually incorrect. The fact that the one claim in the book that I chose to attempt to verify proved untrue makes me quite suspicious about the balance of its contents.
In sum, there is some good financial advice from a great investor, but the book is twice as long as it should be, and there are too many self-serving stories of questionable veracity.
A brilliant (but FRIGHTENING) book This is an investment book that should not be missed (as long as your accounting and financial analysis skills are well-honed -- the critical analysis is detailed). This would be excellent reading for a CFA/MBA/CPA.
David Einhorn writes the detailed story of his investigations into malfeasance at Allied Capital. He makes the case, with all the back-up detail, that this company is essentially a "Ponzi" scheme (like a financial chain-letter). Allied books SBA (and other Federal Agency) guaranteed loans, violating origination-risk criteria, front-ending income, managing and delaying loan write-downs while inflating earnings on the pretext of lack of objective value impairment (though they do manage to write-down their equity investments earlier!), increasing portfolio size which hides higher bad-debt experience on seasoned loans which they do not disclose, and distributing capital (if the accounting had been more conservative) through increasing dividends funded by new equity. All this, as well as documented fraud.
These technical details and analysis are worth the price of admission alone. However, the most frightening thing about the book is the lack of interest in the Allied malfeasance shown by the SBA and the SEC, Congressional oversight committees, sell-side analysts and journalists, all for their own self-serving reasons. If you had any faith in government by-and-large acting in our best interests before, this book could well destroy that act of faith.
As well as the Allied Capital story (most of the book), the early chapters describe how Greenlight Capital (David's Hedge Fund) works. That's a fascinating revelation in its own right. What is most impressive, though, about the book is the quality of analysis David has done. Why are Hedge Funds who sometimes run short-positions so reviled these days by regulators? David is anything but a shoot-from-the-hip trader, neither is there any indication whatsoever he is trying to manipulate the market in Allied stock with rumours (everything is backed up with hard evidence and detailed analysis). By the way, David is the person who publically took on the ex-CFO of Lehman and won. If you are a financially sophisticated shareholder in Allied Capital, please do read this book -- you most probably won't be afterwards.
At the end of the book, I was left with one puzzling question: why has David devoted so much of his time to researching and telling this story (early on in the events, he even says he thought of quitting because it was becoming so time-consuming)? It's almost as if he is now a dog with a financial bone and just can't let go any more. Admittedly, he's doing us all a big favor in the process (and has agreed to give any proceeds from his short position to charity, so he has no personal conflict of interest).
If anyone from the management of Allied Capital or SEC enforcement reads this review and thinks of bringing a lawsuit, do think again. I am only summarising David's book, which is in the public domain, and I never have had, neither do I, nor will I ever have any position in Allied Capital's stock. But then, of course, as David makes the point near the end, the SEC only seems to be interested in high visibility enforcement when a big company has actually failed (Enron, Worldcom), unlike Allied Capital (yet!), or it involves a well known figure (Martha Stewart). Where is the justice that we are all supposed to put our faith in?
Many congratulations, David. I hope there can be more financial books of this quality in the future.
Great book This is a great book to read through. It disclosed how a hedge fund conducted detailed research to valuate a company and fighting the management of the company for some fraud accounting practices. Very informative, detailed and interesting!
Anything Goes Trivia
Trevor
Megaton Man
